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Treasury Futures Hedging

One-line definition

Using Treasury futures to hedge portfolio rate risk without trading the cash bond.

Approximation

Futures DV01 per contract ≈ cheapest-to-deliver (CTD) bond's DV01 divided by its conversion factor — futures_dv01_per_contract in src/pm/fixed_income/futures.py. Then size the hedge with hedge_ratio() same as any other instrument.

Why PMs care

Futures are liquid and capital-efficient relative to trading the underlying cash Treasury, making them a common first choice for duration hedges.

Limitations

Ignores the delivery option value and the risk that the cheapest-to-deliver bond changes as yields move — both make realized futures DV01 drift from this static approximation.