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Cross-Currency Basis

One-line definition

The gap between the actual market FX forward and the forward implied by pure covered interest parity — the market's deviation from the textbook no-arbitrage relationship.

Formula

Solve for the foreign rate that CIP would need to reproduce the observed market forward, then subtract the actual foreign rate:

implied_foreign_rate = ((1 + r_domestic*T) * S / F_market - 1) / T

basis = implied_foreign_rate - r_foreign

Why PMs care

In theory, CIP should hold exactly (it's a static no-arbitrage relation). In practice, funding constraints, balance-sheet costs, and demand for dollar funding make cross-currency basis persistently nonzero — a PM using cross-currency swaps to fund or hedge foreign assets pays or earns this basis on top of the rate differential.

Common mistakes

  • assuming CIP holds exactly and pricing a hedge without the basis
  • treating basis as free money without accounting for the balance-sheet and counterparty costs of the trade that generates it